Parallel Sessions

L17 LogoThe following presentations have been accepted for the Longevity 17 Conference


Monday 12th September 2022
Parallel Session I
11:00 - 12:30

1A - MORTALITY MODELLING AND DATA SCIENCE

  • Modelling the Mortality of China's Oldest Old
    Joey Yung
  • A Neural Network Extension of the Mitchel Mortality Model
    I-Chien Liu 
  • XGBoost and Long-term Mortality Forecasting
    Wenjun Zhu

1B - LONG TERM CARE

  • Are Long Term Care Insurance Customers Likely to Come with Greater Risks for Insurers?
    Andrey Ugarte Montero
  • Air Pollution and the Long-term Care Risk in an Aging Society
    Zining (Lunn) Liu

1C - LIFE PRODUCTS

  • A Study on Risk Classification of Life Insurance and Policies in Taiwan
    Kevin Wang
  • Funding Retirement with Public Reverse Mortgates: An Evaluation of Australia's Home Equity Access Scheme
    Katja Hanewald
  • Macro Longevity Risk and the Choice between Annuity Products: Evidence from Denmark
    Mathias Danielsen Plovst
Monday 12th September 2022
Parallel Session II
14:00 - 15:30

2A - PENSIONS AND RETIREMENT DECISIONS

  • Impact of the Choice of Risk Assessment Time Horizons on Defined Benefit Pension Schemes
    Pradip Tapadar 
  • Testing Methods to Enhance Longevity Awareness
    Abigal Hurwitz
  • A Sustainable, Variable Lifetime Retirement Income Solution for the Chilean Pension Scheme
    Richard K. Fullmer

2B - LONGEVITY TRENDS 1

  • Establishing Methods for Annual Updates to Cohort Life Expectancies
    Dale Hall 
  • Trends in U.S. Population and Insured Mortality
    TBC by SOA
  • The Importance of Education for Life Expectancy
    Guy Coughlan

2C - MORTALITY MODELLING AND HEDGING

  • Bringing  Parametric Mortality Indexes to Practice: A Generalized CBD Model with Stochastic Socioeconomic Differentials in Mortality Improvements.
    Kenneth Zhou
  • Robust Parameter Estimation for the Lee-Carter Model: A Probabilistic Principal Component Approach
    Yiping Guo.
Tuesday 13th September 2022
Parallel Session III
09:00 - 10:30

3A - CAUSE OF DEATH MODELLING

  • Projecting Life Expectancy Using Cause-of-Death-Specific Mortality Scenarios
    Torsten Kleinow
  • A Spatial Analysis of Health and Longevity of Taiwan People
    Jack Yue

3B - MODELLING HEALTH STATUS

  • Mortality Risk Pooling Arrangement Using Multi-state Models of Functional Disability and Health Status
    Doreen Kabuche
  • Multi-state Modelling of Functional Disability and Health Status using Australian Cross-sectional Data
    Kyu Park
  • Modelling Mortality Risks using Hidden Markov Models with Covariates
    Michelle Vhudzijena

3C - MORTALITY MODELLING AND FORECASTING

  • Mortality Modelling and Forecasting using Non-Gaussian Innovations
    I-Chien Liu 
  • Estimating and Modelling Mortality Rates in the Absence of Population Denominators
    Andres Villegas
Tuesday 13th September 2022
Parallel Session IV
14:00 - 15:30

4A - COVID-19

  • Anaylsis of COVID-19 Mortality Among Old Aged Population using Machine Learning Algorithms
    Marjan Qazvini
  • Modelling Cause-of-Death Mortality with Jump Effects: Implications on Rsk Management to Life Insurers
    Yanxin (Graham) Liu
  • COVID-19 - Update
    Andrew Cairns

4B - US MORTALITY MODELLING

  • Analyzing State-Level LongevityTrends with the US Mortality Database
    Doris Padilla
  • Evaluating the Role of Geographical Location and Lifestyle Factors in Estimating Mortality by Causes of Death
    Thananya Saksuriyongse
  • Cause of Death Contributions to Socioeconomic Inequalities in Mortality in the US
    Jean-Marc Fix

4C - HEALTH AND HEALTH INSURANCE

  • Levelling Up - The Greath Health Challenge
    Les Mayhew
  • Frailty Heterogeneity and Differetials in Mortalitt: A Focus on the Health Insurance Market
    Maria Carannante

4D - LONGEVITY TRENDS 2

  • A Consistent Approach to Projecting Mortality Improvement
    Patrick Wiese
  • Reconciling Stochastic and Deterministic Approaches to Mortality Forecasting:  A Case Study
    Kai Kaufhold